The Federal Reserve (the “Fed”) considers two main factors when making decisions regarding interest rates: the first is inflation, which remains high, and the second is unemployment, where we are seeing a slowdown in employment. Notably, the employment data for June was revised downward, reaching its lowest levels in five years.
Cutting interest rates will not affect collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) unless there is a default on the payments. However, in other types of private debt, a reduction in interest rates results in a decrease in their returns.
At The Family Office, we expect the Fed to reduce interest rates by 0.25% in September, and that no significant cuts will follow until the end of the year, before inflation begins to sharply decline.
Watch the full interview above.